TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 11:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Fischer and Marcel Zielinski in the ITF M15 Mistelbach Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Fischer' if Felix Fischer advances against Marcel Zielinski. This market will resolve to 'Marcel Zielinski' if Marcel Zielinski advances against Felix Fischer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Fischer and Marcel Zielinski in the ITF M15 Mistelbach Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Fischer' if Felix Fischer advances against Marcel Zielinski. This market will resolve to 'Marcel Zielinski' if Marcel Zielinski advances against Felix Fischer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds can diverge because they incorporate real-time betting activity and may adjust faster to new information. Sportsbook odds often factor in broader market considerations and risk management policies. Traders in this market may see different implied probabilities compared to sportsbooks, especially as match-specific developments unfold. The dynamics of crowd-sourced pricing on Polymarket can lead to sharper or more volatile shifts than conventional betting platforms.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell shares of each possible outcome. The current implied probability for each result is determined by the best available bid and ask prices, adjusted for market depth and recent trading activity. This mechanism allows rapid price adjustments in response to new insights or shifts in trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official match records, ensuring alignment with real-world results once the match concludes and the data is widely reported.
In this market, key signals include player form, injury updates, and weather conditions at the venue. Any last-minute changes to the lineup or court conditions could shift expectations. Media commentary from coaches or analysts may also influence trader sentiment. As Aug 26, 2026 approaches, betting volume often increases, amplifying price reactions to breaking news. Traders will watch for any official tournament announcements or performance metrics that hint at a competitive edge for either participant.