TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 7:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This event group pertains to the tennis match between Marlon Vankan and Marc Majdandzic in the ITF M15 Lambermont Men tournament. The markets focus on determining the winner of the match and whether the match was completed in full.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marlon Vankan and Marc Majdandzic in the ITF M15 Lambermont Men, originally scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marlon Vankan' if Marlon Vankan advances against Marc Majdandzic. This market will resolve to 'Marc Majdandzic' if Marc Majdandzic advances against Marlon Vankan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for August 27, 2026, 17:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds on this market often reflect sharper, community-driven insights compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks incorporate broader public betting patterns and set fixed odds early, prediction markets update continuously based on trader activity, news, and performance data. This can create price differences, especially as match-specific factors like player form or weather develop. Traders may find value by comparing the dynamic pricing here with static sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket and Limitless, prices can vary due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and trading behavior. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more tennis enthusiasts who heavily weight recent form, while another could reflect broader, less specialized traders. These distinct participant dynamics, combined with varying volume of $3,344, often lead to divergent probability assessments. Such gaps can offer arbitrage opportunities or signals about shifting sentiment leading up to the match.