TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 6:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men tennis match between Moises Itauma and Filip Hrgovic. The aggregated consensus probability shows Filip Hrgovic wins at 99.0%, with Moises Itauma wins at 1.0%, drawing data from Polymarket and Kalshi, and resolving per official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). The final resolution will depend on the official match result by the event deadline on August 29, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anton Arzhankin and Kristijan Juhas in the ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anton Arzhankin' if Anton Arzhankin advances against Kristijan Juhas. This market will resolve to 'Kristijan Juhas' if Kristijan Juhas advances against Anton Arzhankin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Moises Itauma wins the Moises Itauma vs Filip Hrgovic boxing match originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Filip Hrgovic wins the Moises Itauma vs Filip Hrgovic boxing match originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Injuries, weather delays, or sudden shifts in player form could move this market before it settles. Key moments such as early-set results, crowd momentum, or coach decisions often trigger rapid probability adjustments. Any news that alters the perceived likelihood of a particular outcome — even rumors — may cause noticeable swings in trading activity and prices on both Polymarket and Kalshi.