TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 10:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Richard Antoni and Daniele Minighini in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Richard Antoni' if Richard Antoni advances against Daniele Minighini. This market will resolve to 'Daniele Minighini' if Daniele Minighini advances against Richard Antoni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Richard Antoni and Daniele Minighini in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Richard Antoni' if Richard Antoni advances against Daniele Minighini. This market will resolve to 'Daniele Minighini' if Daniele Minighini advances against Richard Antoni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the collective wisdom of traders rather than set benchmarks. In this market, traders’ activity drives prices that can be more volatile or nuanced than standard sportsbook odds. For example, a sharp shift in betting patterns or new information about player form may move this market faster than typical sportsbook adjustments.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually place bets that directly set the market price based on supply and demand. The current implied probability reflects the ratio of total funds backing each outcome. As trading volume grows, early biases or late-breaking news can cause rapid shifts in pricing, making this market respond quickly to new data about the competitors.
This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will settle based on the officially recorded winner, reflecting the definitive result of the contest. Timing depends on when authoritative sources confirm and publish the match outcome.
Injuries, changes to the players’ rankings, or significant tournament updates can shift this market as the event nears. Media coverage highlighting training performance, weather conditions, or any last-minute substitutions may also sway trader sentiment. As these signals emerge, the market price will adjust to reflect the latest expectations about who is most likely to win.