TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 6:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Agwi and Juliusz Bienkiewicz in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Agwi' if Michael Agwi advances against Juliusz Bienkiewicz. This market will resolve to 'Juliusz Bienkiewicz' if Juliusz Bienkiewicz advances against Michael Agwi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Agwi and Juliusz Bienkiewicz in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Agwi' if Michael Agwi advances against Juliusz Bienkiewicz. This market will resolve to 'Juliusz Bienkiewicz' if Juliusz Bienkiewicz advances against Michael Agwi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks that determine the current implied probability for each outcome. The top bid and ask prices adjust based on trading volume and recent activity, with the best available odds shown at the head of the market. As the match date nears, trader sentiment — influenced by things like player form, injuries, or weather — will drive fluctuations in these prices, reflecting the collective wisdom of the Polymarket community.
This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market status accordingly. Traders should monitor reputable sports news sources or tournament officials for confirmed results, as any delay or dispute in official reporting could temporarily affect market closure timing, but the market will settle once the facts are beyond reasonable dispute.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute player injuries, changes to match conditions such as surface or weather, and recent performance trends from either competitor in lead-up tournaments. Media coverage highlighting one player’s confidence or strategy could also sway trader sentiment. As the match approaches, any update from the tournament organizers — whether about lineups, scheduling adjustments, or venue conditions — may cause rapid price swings on Polymarket as traders react to new information that could affect the final result.