TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 5:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Gschiel and Adam Bajurko in the ITF M15 Bielsko Biala Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Gschiel' if Alexander Gschiel advances against Adam Bajurko. This market will resolve to 'Adam Bajurko' if Adam Bajurko advances against Alexander Gschiel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Gschiel and Adam Bajurko in the ITF M15 Bielsko Biala Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Gschiel' if Alexander Gschiel advances against Adam Bajurko. This market will resolve to 'Adam Bajurko' if Adam Bajurko advances against Alexander Gschiel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to community-driven pricing and unique betting dynamics. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing depending on trader sentiment and new information. Comparing the two can reveal gaps in perception or early shifts in market confidence.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders collectively set the odds through their bets, which determines the current implied probability for each outcome. The top outcome’s displayed chance reflects the aggregated wisdom of participants and can change rapidly with new insights, player updates, or shifts in betting volume. This decentralized pricing model allows for dynamic adjustments that reflect real-time sentiment and information flow.
This market resolves around Aug 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly based on authoritative sources. Traders can monitor news and match updates as the event nears to anticipate the final settlement.
Injuries, weather conditions, or recent performance shifts for either player can sway this market as the match approaches. Media coverage, betting trends, and analyst commentary may also influence trader sentiment and shift odds. Any last-minute changes in player status or venue conditions have the potential to create noticeable movement in the market’s pricing before it resolves.