TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 18, 1:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Bastian Malla and Nicolas Zanellato in the ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bastian Malla' if Bastian Malla advances against Nicolas Zanellato. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Zanellato' if Nicolas Zanellato advances against Bastian Malla. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Bastian Malla and Nicolas Zanellato in the ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bastian Malla' if Bastian Malla advances against Nicolas Zanellato. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Zanellato' if Nicolas Zanellato advances against Bastian Malla. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity, allowing for rapid shifts in perceived likelihood. Sportsbook odds, by contrast, often incorporate broader factors like public betting patterns and house margins. While both aim to gauge the probability of outcomes, prediction markets can show more granular and volatile pricing, especially as new information emerges. The difference provides a unique view into how informed traders are positioning themselves ahead of the match.
This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official match result, which is then matched against the predictions made in this market.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 25, 2026. Key performances in recent matches, injury updates, or changes in player form may sway trader sentiment. Weather conditions or venue specifics could also influence perceptions of advantage. Media coverage highlighting tactical adjustments or psychological factors might create short-term volatility. As the match approaches, any last-minute news — such as lineup announcements or coaching strategies — is likely to trigger rapid price movements, reflecting updated expectations for the outcome.