TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 7:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vanta and Leonardo Angeloni in the ITF M15 Arad Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vanta' if Valentin Vanta advances against Leonardo Angeloni. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Angeloni' if Leonardo Angeloni advances against Valentin Vanta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vanta and Leonardo Angeloni in the ITF M15 Arad Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vanta' if Valentin Vanta advances against Leonardo Angeloni. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Angeloni' if Leonardo Angeloni advances against Valentin Vanta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the decentralized nature of trading. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytical models and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their beliefs, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing. Traders should compare both sources to spot potential value, keeping in mind that prediction markets incorporate real-time crowd wisdom and can adjust faster to new information.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for each possible outcome. The displayed probability reflects the best available bid-ask spread, influenced by recent trading volume and order flow. Liquidity can vary throughout the event’s lifespan, impacting how easily large positions can be opened or closed. Traders watch for order-book imbalances that may signal upcoming price moves.
This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market status accordingly. Traders should be aware that resolution timing depends on when authoritative sources confirm the final score, which typically follows shortly after the match ends.
Key signals that could shift this market include player injuries, changes to the match schedule, weather conditions affecting play, and pre-match betting trends. Media coverage highlighting performance metrics or psychological factors might also sway trader sentiment. As the event draws nearer, any last-minute news about player form or tournament conditions can cause rapid adjustments in odds, so monitoring credible tennis news sources is essential for active participants.