TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 14, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuhan Liu and Ma Ruoxi in the ITF Women Luan, originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuhan Liu' if Yuhan Liu advances against Ma Ruoxi. This market will resolve to 'Ma Ruoxi' if Ma Ruoxi advances against Yuhan Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuhan Liu and Ma Ruoxi in the ITF Women Luan, originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuhan Liu' if Yuhan Liu advances against Ma Ruoxi. This market will resolve to 'Ma Ruoxi' if Ma Ruoxi advances against Yuhan Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, particularly as new information emerges or when one venue attracts more informed traders. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus breaks down and highlight potential value.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief in that outcome, with higher prices indicating stronger confidence. As new information surfaces—injury reports, recent form, head-to-head records—traders adjust their positions, moving the odds in real time. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to news.
This market resolves around Jul 15, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official match result, confirmed through established tennis reporting channels. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate based on pre-match developments, player updates, and shifting market sentiment.
Several catalysts could shift odds before Jul 15, 2026. Injury announcements or withdrawal news involving either player would trigger sharp repricing. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and surface-specific performance data often prompt trader activity. Court conditions, weather forecasts, and seeding changes can also influence sentiment. Media coverage highlighting form or confidence shifts may accelerate buying or selling. Watch for lineup confirmations and any last-minute roster adjustments that could reshape expectations.