TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
ITF Luan: Thasaporn Naklo vs Ikumi Yamazaki Total Sets: O/U 2.5
- Polymarket
ITF Luan: Thasaporn Naklo vs Ikumi Yamazaki Total Sets: O/U 2.5 - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 10, 2026
Closed: Jul 17, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thasaporn Naklo and Ikumi Yamazaki in the ITF Women Luan, originally scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thasaporn Naklo' if Thasaporn Naklo advances against Ikumi Yamazaki. This market will resolve to 'Ikumi Yamazaki' if Ikumi Yamazaki advances against Thasaporn Naklo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thasaporn Naklo and Ikumi Yamazaki in the ITF Women Luan, originally scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thasaporn Naklo' if Thasaporn Naklo advances against Ikumi Yamazaki. This market will resolve to 'Ikumi Yamazaki' if Ikumi Yamazaki advances against Thasaporn Naklo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may offer odds that differ from major sportsbooks, particularly if one venue has sharper or more active traders. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's conviction lies and whether value exists relative to conventional betting lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing each outcome trade continuously, and the current price of a share reflects the implied likelihood of that result. As traders buy or sell, the price adjusts algorithmically, ensuring the market remains responsive to new information and participant sentiment throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the tennis match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning prediction corresponds to the actual match winner as documented by official ITF records and major sports news sources. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout once the event is settled and verified on the platform.
Market prices may shift based on recent player performance, head-to-head records, injury reports, court surface conditions, and pre-match commentary from tennis analysts. Tournament seeding, ranking points at stake, and player form leading into the event can all influence trader sentiment. News about either player's recent matches, training updates, or changes in tournament scheduling may also trigger repricing as participants reassess the probability of each outcome.