TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lachlan Mcfadzean and Shintaro Imai in the ITF Men Luan, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lachlan Mcfadzean' if Lachlan Mcfadzean advances against Shintaro Imai. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Imai' if Shintaro Imai advances against Lachlan Mcfadzean. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect decentralized trader sentiment rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets price based on collective belief. For the Mcfadzean vs Imai match, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbook offerings can reveal whether the crowd sees value the books have missed. Prediction markets typically react faster to breaking news about player form or injury.
On Polymarket, the Mcfadzean vs Imai match is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time implied probabilities for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move as traders deposit capital and adjust positions, with each share purchase or sale shifting the odds. The market displays the current spread between bid and ask prices, showing the cost of immediate execution. Liquidity depth on Polymarket determines how large orders impact the price, so monitoring order book depth helps traders assess slippage risk.
Key catalysts for price movement include recent tournament results and head-to-head records between Mcfadzean and Imai, player injury reports or fitness updates, court surface conditions and venue details, and betting syndicate activity. Shifts in player rankings or recent form on the ITF circuit can trigger rapid repricing. Media coverage of either competitor's recent matches or training camps may also influence trader sentiment. Closer to Jun 5, 2026, weather forecasts and official lineup confirmations typically drive final volatility.