TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 20, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Junhan Zhang and Ma Ruoxi in the ITF Women Luan, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Junhan Zhang' if Junhan Zhang advances against Ma Ruoxi. This market will resolve to 'Ma Ruoxi' if Ma Ruoxi advances against Junhan Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Junhan Zhang and Ma Ruoxi in the ITF Women Luan, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Junhan Zhang' if Junhan Zhang advances against Ma Ruoxi. This market will resolve to 'Ma Ruoxi' if Ma Ruoxi advances against Junhan Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake. This market may show odds that differ meaningfully from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or as major traders adjust their positions. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or where contrarian opportunities may exist.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probability estimates. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the price of each share reflects the collective belief about that outcome's likelihood. As more capital flows into one side, the price adjusts automatically, ensuring the market remains responsive to new information and trader conviction throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, once the tennis match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result—which player wins the encounter. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate. Resolution is automatic once the event is finalized and confirmed through standard sports data sources.
Several factors may shift odds before Jul 21, 2026. Recent player form, head-to-head records, court surface preference, and injury reports are classic catalysts. Tournament seeding, draw position, and momentum from earlier rounds can also influence trader sentiment. Media coverage, expert commentary, and betting action from professional syndicates may trigger sharp moves. Weather conditions, player statements, or late-breaking news about fitness or mental readiness could prompt rapid repricing as new information reaches the market.