TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 19, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Spencer Johnson and Nathan Trouve in the ITF Men Los Angeles, originally scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Spencer Johnson' if Spencer Johnson advances against Nathan Trouve. This market will resolve to 'Nathan Trouve' if Nathan Trouve advances against Spencer Johnson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Spencer Johnson and Nathan Trouve in the ITF Men Los Angeles, originally scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Spencer Johnson' if Spencer Johnson advances against Nathan Trouve. This market will resolve to 'Nathan Trouve' if Nathan Trouve advances against Spencer Johnson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous buying and selling. This market reflects what thousands of independent participants believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than sportsbooks update their lines. Comparing this market's implied probability to sportsbook odds can reveal where the two diverge, helping you identify potential value or consensus shifts in how the tennis match is perceived.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one possible result, and the current price reflects the aggregate belief of all active traders. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, prices adjust in real time. The cost to buy a share rises as demand increases, and falls as traders exit positions, creating a continuous price discovery mechanism that balances supply and demand throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect which player wins the ITF Los Angeles event. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares based on their expectations. Resolution is final once the match is officially confirmed, and payouts are distributed to holders of the winning outcome share.
Several factors may shift odds before Jun 19, 2026. Recent form and head-to-head records between the two players can influence trader confidence. Injury reports, weather conditions, or court surface details specific to the Los Angeles venue may prompt repricing. Tournament seeding and draw position also matter in ITF events. As the match date approaches, any news about player fitness, ranking changes, or performance in warm-up events could trigger buying or selling pressure. Live trading during the match itself will reflect real-time momentum and set scores.