TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 18, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxwell Exsted and Theodore Dean in the ITF Men Los Angeles, originally scheduled for June 11, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxwell Exsted' if Maxwell Exsted advances against Theodore Dean. This market will resolve to 'Theodore Dean' if Theodore Dean advances against Maxwell Exsted. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxwell Exsted and Theodore Dean in the ITF Men Los Angeles, originally scheduled for June 11, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxwell Exsted' if Maxwell Exsted advances against Theodore Dean. This market will resolve to 'Theodore Dean' if Theodore Dean advances against Maxwell Exsted. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking profit through accurate forecasting. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper odds because participants have direct financial exposure to accuracy. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money sees value in this market.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on buy and sell pressure. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a share price between 0 and 1 (or 0–100 cents), and the total of all outcome prices equals 1. When more traders buy shares predicting Exsted to win, his price rises and Dean's falls. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market reflects real-time consensus and allows you to enter or exit positions at transparent, algorithmically determined prices.
This market resolves around Jun 18, 2026, once the Exsted vs Dean match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result from the ITF Los Angeles tournament. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information emerges. Resolution is automatic once the event is finalized and reported through established sports data sources.
Several factors could shift odds before Jun 18, 2026. Recent performance data, head-to-head records, and player rankings often influence trader behavior. Injury reports, court surface conditions, or weather updates closer to match day can trigger sharp repricing. News about either player's form, tournament seeding changes, or coaching adjustments may also move this market. Additionally, as the match date approaches, reduced uncertainty typically narrows the spread. Early trading activity and large position changes by sophisticated traders can signal conviction and catalyze broader price movement.