TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
ITF Lodz: Vladyslav Orlov vs Jakub Vrtilka
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win the ITF Lodz match between Orlov and Vrtilka?

Volume:
$1,133,935

Vladyslav Orlov

 - Kalshi

Vladyslav Orlov - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 8, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 2:06 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Vladyslav Orlov

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$488,405
N/A
N/A
$242,621
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Lodz: Vladyslav Orlov vs Jakub Vrtilka

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,786
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jakub Vrtilka

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$636,724
N/A
N/A
$260,913
Settled
No
polymarket

ITF Lodz: Vladyslav Orlov vs Jakub Vrtilka Set 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Lodz: Vladyslav Orlov vs Jakub Vrtilka Set 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Lodz: Vladyslav Orlov vs Jakub Vrtilka Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Lodz: Vladyslav Orlov vs Jakub Vrtilka Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Lodz: Vladyslav Orlov vs Jakub Vrtilka Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Lodz: Vladyslav Orlov vs Jakub Vrtilka Match O/U 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Lodz: Vladyslav Orlov vs Jakub Vrtilka Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Lodz: Vladyslav Orlov vs Jakub Vrtilka Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Lodz: Vladyslav Orlov vs Jakub Vrtilka Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Lodz: Vladyslav Orlov vs Jakub Vrtilka Match O/U 22.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Lodz: Vladyslav Orlov vs Jakub Vrtilka Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Lodz: Vladyslav Orlov vs Jakub Vrtilka Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Lodz: Vladyslav Orlov vs Jakub Vrtilka Match O/U 23.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 17

Intro

This event group tracks the professional tennis match between Vladyslav Orlov and Jakub Vrtilka in the ITF Men's M15 Lodz tournament, aggregating consensus data from Polymarket and Kalshi. The leading outcome currently sits at 100.0% across the aggregated platforms. Resolution will be determined by the official ITF Tennis tournament calendar. Watch for the match scheduled on July 8, 2026 at 8:15 AM ET, as any delays, walkovers, or retirements on that date could trigger alternative resolution pathways tracked across derivative markets in this group.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market definition lacks comprehensive edge-case coverage present in Polymarket. Kalshi only specifies resolution if a ball is played and a winner emerges, but does not address cancellations, delays, walkovers, or incomplete matches.Hero tip: Polymarket offers superior clarity on edge cases (7-day delay rule, 50-50 resolution for walkovers, cancellations, and ties). Kalshi traders should seek clarification on non-completion scenarios before committing capital, as the market may default to ambiguous resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Comprehensive resolution framework with explicit handling of cancellations, walkovers, retirements, defaults, disqualifications, delays beyond 7 days, and ties. All non-completion or ambiguous scenarios resolve to 50-50. Primary source is official ITF information with credible reporting consensus as backup.
  • Kalshi: Minimal definition: resolves Yes if either player wins after a ball is played in the M15 Lodz Round of 32. No explicit guidance on cancellations, delays, walkovers, incomplete matches, or tie scenarios. Resolution mechanism for non-completion is undefined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Vladyslav Orlov and Jakub Vrtilka in the ITF Men Lodz, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 8:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vladyslav Orlov' if Vladyslav Orlov advances against Jakub Vrtilka. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Vrtilka' if Jakub Vrtilka advances against Vladyslav Orlov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The match must have a ball played to be considered as occurring. If the match does not start due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation, all markets resolve to $0.50. If a player withdraws or forfeits after play has begun, that player's market resolves to No. If the match is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and resolve after the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. Each player's market resolves to Yes if that player wins after a ball has been played.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracking this match operate on a fundamentally different model than traditional sportsbooks. Rather than a bookmaker setting odds and taking a margin, traders on Polymarket and Kalshi set prices through direct supply and demand, often resulting in tighter spreads and more efficient pricing over time. Sportsbooks must hedge risk and profit from the vig; prediction markets reward accurate forecasting. This can make prediction market odds more reflective of true probability, especially as trading volume grows closer to an event.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates under distinct regulatory frameworks, fee structures, and user demographics, all of which influence how traders price identical outcomes. Polymarket may attract different participant types or liquidity patterns than Kalshi, leading to temporary price gaps. Additionally, differences in contract design—such as how each platform frames the match outcome or handles edge cases—can create divergence. These gaps typically narrow as informed traders arbitrage across venues, but real-time differences are normal and often exploitable.