TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kenta Miyoshi and Timo Legout in the ITF Men Laval, originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kenta Miyoshi' if Kenta Miyoshi advances against Timo Legout. This market will resolve to 'Timo Legout' if Timo Legout advances against Kenta Miyoshi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kenta Miyoshi and Timo Legout in the ITF Men Laval, originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kenta Miyoshi' if Kenta Miyoshi advances against Timo Legout. This market will resolve to 'Timo Legout' if Timo Legout advances against Kenta Miyoshi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets let traders freely set prices based on their beliefs about outcomes. This market may show higher or lower probabilities than major sportsbooks, depending on whether informed traders here see value that bookmakers have missed or mispriced. Comparing the two can reveal arbitrage opportunities or consensus gaps.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time probability estimates. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing each outcome trade continuously, and the current price reflects the aggregate belief of all active traders. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, the price adjusts instantly, allowing you to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the ITF Laval event concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result, determining which trader positions are correct. Until that point, prices may fluctuate as new information, player form updates, or injury reports influence expectations.
Several factors could shift prices before resolution. Injury announcements or withdrawal news involving either player would have immediate impact. Recent match results, ranking changes, or head-to-head history becoming widely discussed could sway trader sentiment. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, or coaching changes may also influence expectations. Media coverage highlighting one player's form or momentum could drive volume and repricing. Any official tournament updates or scheduling changes would likely trigger trading activity as well.