TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 9:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Scarlett Fagan and Kristina Penickova in the ITF Women Lakewood, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 9:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Scarlett Fagan' if Scarlett Fagan advances against Kristina Penickova. This market will resolve to 'Kristina Penickova' if Kristina Penickova advances against Scarlett Fagan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect decentralized, real-time consensus rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets price outcomes based on continuous participant trading. For the ITF Lakewood match, Polymarket odds may move faster in response to player news, injury reports, or recent form. Comparing Polymarket probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether the market views Fagan or Penickova differently than professional bookmakers do.
On Polymarket, the ITF Lakewood: Scarlett Fagan vs Kristina match is priced as a binary outcome contract reflecting the probability each player wins. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices are determined by supply and demand; traders buy shares in outcomes they believe are underpriced and sell those they view as overpriced. The current odds reflect the aggregate belief of all Polymarket participants. As the match date approaches or new information surfaces, prices adjust dynamically. The spread between outcomes indicates market confidence; a narrow spread suggests uncertainty, while a wide gap indicates strong consensus favoring one player.
The ITF Lakewood: Scarlett Fagan vs Kristina market resolves on Jun 10, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official match result from the ITF Lakewood tournament. The outcome is binary: one player wins and the other loses. Market resolution occurs after the match concludes and the official result is confirmed. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. The exact resolution mechanics and data source are specified in the market's terms on Polymarket.
Several factors could shift odds for the Fagan versus Penickova match before Jun 10, 2026. Injury announcements or withdrawal news involving either player would trigger sharp price moves. Recent tournament results, head-to-head history, or updated rankings may influence trader sentiment. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, or draw information released closer to the event could also impact pricing. Player statements, coaching changes, or fitness updates circulating on tennis media would likely prompt rapid repricing on Polymarket. Trading volume typically increases as match day approaches, potentially amplifying volatility in odds.