TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 11:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jean Baptiste Badon and Amit Vales in the ITF Men Lakewood, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 11:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jean Baptiste Badon' if Jean Baptiste Badon advances against Amit Vales. This market will resolve to 'Amit Vales' if Amit Vales advances against Jean Baptiste Badon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect decentralized trader consensus and may differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability and incorporate their own analytics, while prediction markets aggregate real-time belief from participants with direct financial incentive to forecast accurately. For the Badon vs Vales match, comparing Polymarket odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where professional and retail markets diverge. These differences often highlight undervalued or overvalued outcomes relative to broader market opinion.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Badon vs Vales match is priced as binary outcome contracts, with each player represented by a separate tradable share. The price of each share reflects the market's implied probability of that player winning. Traders buy and sell shares to express their conviction, and prices adjust continuously based on order flow and liquidity. The top outcome currently reflects market consensus, though prices remain dynamic as match details and player conditions evolve through Jun 10, 2026.
The market resolves on Jun 10, 2026 following the completion of the match at ITF Lakewood. Resolution is determined by the official result recorded by the ITF and confirmed through standard sports data feeds. The winning outcome is the player who prevails in the completed match. Markets typically settle within hours of the final point, once results are officially published and verified by the platform.
Key catalysts include official player withdrawals or injury announcements, recent tournament results and form trends, head-to-head history and playing style matchups, court surface conditions at Lakewood, and pre-match commentary from analysts or coaches. Weather updates, seeding changes, or late lineup confirmations can also shift market prices. Real-time trading volume and large position changes may signal informed traders acting on new information. Monitor official ITF communications and player social media for last-minute developments that could alter match expectations.