TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergej Zivkovic and Vlado Jankanj in the ITF Men Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergej Zivkovic' if Sergej Zivkovic advances against Vlado Jankanj. This market will resolve to 'Vlado Jankanj' if Vlado Jankanj advances against Sergej Zivkovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergej Zivkovic and Vlado Jankanj in the ITF Men Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergej Zivkovic' if Sergej Zivkovic advances against Vlado Jankanj. This market will resolve to 'Vlado Jankanj' if Vlado Jankanj advances against Sergej Zivkovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous buying and selling. This market's odds reflect what thousands of participants collectively believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than traditional sportsbooks update their lines. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus diverges and highlight potential value or risk in either venue.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one possible result, and the price of each outcome reflects the collective confidence of all active traders. As new information surfaces—player form, injury reports, or betting patterns—traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down. The current market price effectively represents the crowd's real-time probability estimate for this event.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official result recorded by the tournament organizer and widely reported by established sports news sources. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate. Resolution happens automatically once the event is finalized and the platform's verification process is complete.
Several factors could shift odds before the match takes place. Player injuries, withdrawals, or fitness updates announced in the days leading up to the event typically trigger sharp price moves. Recent tournament performance, head-to-head records, and surface conditions at the venue also influence trader sentiment. Media coverage highlighting one player's form or confidence can sway the market, as can unexpected lineup changes or coaching updates. Even casual betting activity from the broader public can nudge prices if it concentrates on one side.