TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 6:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Vives Marcos and Edoardo Betti in the ITF Men Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Vives Marcos' if Pedro Vives Marcos advances against Edoardo Betti. This market will resolve to 'Edoardo Betti' if Edoardo Betti advances against Pedro Vives Marcos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Vives Marcos and Edoardo Betti in the ITF Men Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Vives Marcos' if Pedro Vives Marcos advances against Edoardo Betti. This market will resolve to 'Edoardo Betti' if Edoardo Betti advances against Pedro Vives Marcos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs. This market may show odds that differ meaningfully from major sportsbooks, especially if professional bettors or informed tennis analysts are active here. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money sees value relative to conventional betting lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Buyers and sellers interact directly with the liquidity pool, and the price adjusts continuously as trades flow in. The implied probability reflects the aggregate belief of all active traders at any given moment, making the market a crowdsourced forecast of the match outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the actual result of the match as documented by official tennis records or established sports data providers. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell positions based on their expectations and any new developments affecting either player.
Several factors could shift odds before Jul 22, 2026. Recent player performance, injury reports, or withdrawal announcements would trigger immediate repricing. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and head-to-head history may also influence trader sentiment as the match date approaches. Betting activity from professional syndicates or sudden shifts in aggregate trader positioning can amplify price swings. Any credible news about either player's form or fitness could prompt rapid recalibration of the implied probabilities.