TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 7:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Novak Novakovic and Ruslan Tiukaev in the ITF Men Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 4:35AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Novak Novakovic' if Novak Novakovic advances against Ruslan Tiukaev. This market will resolve to 'Ruslan Tiukaev' if Ruslan Tiukaev advances against Novak Novakovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Novak Novakovic and Ruslan Tiukaev in the ITF Men Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 4:35AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Novak Novakovic' if Novak Novakovic advances against Ruslan Tiukaev. This market will resolve to 'Ruslan Tiukaev' if Ruslan Tiukaev advances against Novak Novakovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader-driven dynamics and lower liquidity. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader analytics and risk management, this market lets participants bet directly on their insights. Traders might push probabilities higher or lower than sportsbook prices depending on recent form, injuries, or other factors influencing player performance.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders collectively set the price through their bets, which determines the implied probability for each possible outcome. The current top outcome reflects the highest chance as assessed by market participants, with odds adjusting dynamically based on new information and trading volume. This decentralized pricing mechanism captures real-time sentiment unique to Polymarket.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and winner will determine which contracts pay out, aligning with the official match records. Timing depends on when authoritative sources confirm the result, typically shortly after the match concludes.
Injuries, weather delays, or last-minute coaching changes could shift this market as they affect expected performance. Media updates, practice session reports, and betting trends may also influence trader sentiment. Any new information that changes perceptions of the players' chances can cause odds to swing dramatically before the match is decided.