TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 8:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Niksa Arsic and Andrea De Marchi in the ITF Men Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niksa Arsic' if Niksa Arsic advances against Andrea De Marchi. This market will resolve to 'Andrea De Marchi' if Andrea De Marchi advances against Niksa Arsic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Niksa Arsic and Andrea De Marchi in the ITF Men Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niksa Arsic' if Niksa Arsic advances against Andrea De Marchi. This market will resolve to 'Andrea De Marchi' if Andrea De Marchi advances against Niksa Arsic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a decentralized process where traders submit bids and offers that directly set the current odds. The top outcome’s displayed probability reflects the collective assessment of all active participants. Liquidity and volume influence how quickly prices adjust, and any significant news or betting trends can cause rapid shifts in the market’s valuation.
This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly. Traders should monitor reputable sports news sources for confirmed results to understand when the market will close and payouts will be processed.
Several signals could impact this market before it resolves, including player injuries, changes in form or performance metrics, weather conditions affecting play, and any last-minute tournament updates. Media coverage and expert analysis may also shift trader sentiment. As the match date nears, any new information that alters the perceived likelihood of each outcome can cause noticeable price movements on Polymarket.