TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 7:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Gagliardo and Anton Arzhankin in the ITF Men Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Gagliardo' if Lorenzo Gagliardo advances against Anton Arzhankin. This market will resolve to 'Anton Arzhankin' if Anton Arzhankin advances against Lorenzo Gagliardo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks adjust for margin and manage liability, while prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs from many participants. For the Gagliardo versus Arzhankin match, comparing Polymarket prices to major sportsbooks can reveal where professional traders and casual bettors diverge in their assessment of each player's winning probability.
On Polymarket, the Gagliardo versus Arzhankin match is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into implied win probabilities for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices shift as new volume enters the market, reflecting updated expectations about the match result. The contract price directly represents the market's collective forecast, with higher prices indicating stronger confidence in that outcome among active traders on the platform.
The ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Anton Arzhankin market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 13, 2026. Resolution occurs after the match concludes and the official result is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the winner of the singles match between these two competitors in the ITF Kursumlijska Banja tournament. Once the match is completed and verified, the market settles according to the final score.
Several factors could shift market prices for the Gagliardo versus Arzhankin match. Recent form and head-to-head history between the players often influence trader sentiment. Court surface conditions, weather, and player injury updates can trigger repricing. Tournament draw position and momentum from earlier rounds may also affect confidence in each competitor. News about player fitness, coaching changes, or psychological factors closer to match day typically generates trading activity and price adjustments on Polymarket.