TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 6:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Gagliardo and Amaury Raynel in the ITF Men Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for June 9, 2026 at 6:05AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Gagliardo' if Lorenzo Gagliardo advances against Amaury Raynel. This market will resolve to 'Amaury Raynel' if Amaury Raynel advances against Lorenzo Gagliardo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect decentralized trader sentiment rather than bookmaker pricing models. Sportsbooks typically build in margins and adjust lines based on liability management, while prediction markets aggregate real-time beliefs from many participants. For the Gagliardo versus Raynel match, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd sees value. Prediction markets may react faster to breaking news or player updates than traditional books.
The market resolves on Jun 16, 2026 following the completion of the Lorenzo Gagliardo versus Amaury Raynel match at the ITF Kursumlijska Banja event. Resolution is determined by the official match result—either Gagliardo wins or Raynel wins. Once the match concludes and the result is confirmed, the market settles accordingly, with winning shares paying out and losing shares expiring worthless. Traders should monitor the official ITF tournament schedule and results for confirmation timing.
Several factors could shift odds for the Gagliardo versus Raynel match before Jun 16, 2026. Recent tournament results or head-to-head records between the two players often trigger repricing. Injury announcements, player withdrawals, or changes in court conditions at Kursumlijska Banja can significantly alter trader expectations. Betting activity from informed participants—such as sharp bettors or professional syndicates—may also move the market. Media coverage, ranking updates, or performance in warm-up matches closer to the event date typically generate fresh trading volume and price adjustments.