TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 2:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lana Virc and Nina Radovanovic in the ITF Women Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lana Virc' if Lana Virc advances against Nina Radovanovic. This market will resolve to 'Nina Radovanovic' if Nina Radovanovic advances against Lana Virc. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lana Virc and Nina Radovanovic in the ITF Women Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lana Virc' if Lana Virc advances against Nina Radovanovic. This market will resolve to 'Nina Radovanovic' if Nina Radovanovic advances against Lana Virc. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who profit from accurate forecasts. For this market, comparing the implied probability here to major sportsbook lines can reveal where professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders disagree on the likely winner, potentially signaling value or consensus shifts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing each outcome trade continuously, and the price of each share reflects the collective assessment of all participants. As traders buy or sell shares, the price adjusts algorithmically, ensuring the market always reflects the latest consensus on the match result without requiring a traditional order book.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, once the tennis match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official match result—which player wins the ITF event. No further conditions apply; resolution hinges solely on the confirmed winner as reported by the tournament organizers and major sports data providers.
Player form, recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and injury reports can all shift trader sentiment and move prices significantly. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and draw announcements may also influence expectations. Late-breaking news about either competitor's fitness or mental state, as well as betting patterns from professional syndicates, can trigger sharp moves. Real-time match updates during play will likely drive the most dramatic repricing as traders react to live performance data.