TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 3:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ksenia Zaytseva and Nina Radovanovic in the ITF Women Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 3:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ksenia Zaytseva' if Ksenia Zaytseva advances against Nina Radovanovic. This market will resolve to 'Nina Radovanovic' if Nina Radovanovic advances against Ksenia Zaytseva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ksenia Zaytseva and Nina Radovanovic in the ITF Women Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 3:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ksenia Zaytseva' if Ksenia Zaytseva advances against Nina Radovanovic. This market will resolve to 'Nina Radovanovic' if Nina Radovanovic advances against Ksenia Zaytseva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, offering an alternative view of how informed traders assess the match. Comparing both can reveal gaps in consensus.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the cumulative belief of all participants; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, the probability updates in real time. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust, so monitoring recent activity helps you understand conviction levels around each potential result.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will reflect the official winner as confirmed through standard tennis reporting channels. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new developments or match information become available, allowing positions to shift based on pre-match conditions or any other relevant signals.
Several factors could shift trader sentiment before the match begins. Recent performance data, head-to-head records, court surface conditions, player injuries, or fitness updates may prompt repricing. Weather forecasts, last-minute lineup changes, or news coverage highlighting either player's form could also influence the odds. Traders monitoring these developments may adjust positions, causing the probability to drift as new information enters the market and shapes expectations around the outcome.