TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 3:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kristijan Juhas and Vlado Jankanj in the ITF Men Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kristijan Juhas' if Kristijan Juhas advances against Vlado Jankanj. This market will resolve to 'Vlado Jankanj' if Vlado Jankanj advances against Kristijan Juhas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kristijan Juhas and Vlado Jankanj in the ITF Men Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kristijan Juhas' if Kristijan Juhas advances against Vlado Jankanj. This market will resolve to 'Vlado Jankanj' if Vlado Jankanj advances against Kristijan Juhas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader belief and capital allocation. This market aggregates the collective judgment of thousands of independent participants without a house edge, which can make it more responsive to new information. Comparing the two can reveal where professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders disagree on the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the ratio of capital allocated to it relative to the total pool. As more traders back one player, that outcome's share price rises and the opposing outcome falls, creating a continuous price discovery mechanism. This dynamic pricing means the odds you see represent the real-time consensus probability among active market participants.
This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official match result as documented by the ITF or other authoritative tennis sources. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information emerges. Once the match concludes and the winner is confirmed, the market will settle and payouts will be distributed accordingly.
Several factors could shift trader sentiment before the match concludes. Recent performance data, head-to-head records, and player rankings may influence expectations as the event approaches. Injury reports or withdrawal announcements could trigger sharp repricing. Court conditions, weather, and draw positioning might also matter to informed traders. Real-time match developments—set scores, momentum shifts, or unexpected tactical adjustments during play—will likely drive the most dramatic price swings as traders update their beliefs based on live action.