TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
$107,351,958
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Jan Werblinski vs Nikola Jovic Set Handicap +/-1.5
- Polymarket
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Jan Werblinski vs Nikola Jovic Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 15, 2026
Closed: Jul 23, 2:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Werblinski and Nikola Jovic in the ITF Men Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Werblinski' if Jan Werblinski advances against Nikola Jovic. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Jovic' if Nikola Jovic advances against Jan Werblinski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Werblinski and Nikola Jovic in the ITF Men Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Werblinski' if Jan Werblinski advances against Nikola Jovic. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Jovic' if Nikola Jovic advances against Jan Werblinski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective belief of traders risking real money on outcomes. This market aggregates trader conviction directly, which can reveal information gaps or contrarian views that traditional sportsbooks may not immediately price in. Comparing the two can highlight where the crowd sees value or where expert opinion diverges from casual betting patterns.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the current probability assigned by the market; as more traders buy shares for a given outcome, that outcome's price rises and its implied probability increases. You can enter or exit positions at any time during the trading window, and the price you receive depends on the current order book depth and recent trading activity.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on which player wins the ITF Kursumlijska Banja event. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information emerges. Resolution is automatic once the event result is finalized and reported through established tennis databases and official tournament records.
Several factors could shift trader sentiment before the match concludes. Recent player performance, injury reports, head-to-head records, and court surface conditions are common catalysts. News about either competitor's form, ranking points at stake, or tournament draw implications may prompt traders to adjust their positions. Weather forecasts, last-minute lineup changes, or betting patterns from professional syndicates can also trigger price swings. Real-time match updates during play will likely drive the most dramatic moves as traders react to serve breaks, set outcomes, and momentum shifts.