TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 3:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Elza Tomase and Dunja Maric in the ITF Women Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elza Tomase' if Elza Tomase advances against Dunja Maric. This market will resolve to 'Dunja Maric' if Dunja Maric advances against Elza Tomase. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elza Tomase and Dunja Maric in the ITF Women Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elza Tomase' if Elza Tomase advances against Dunja Maric. This market will resolve to 'Dunja Maric' if Dunja Maric advances against Elza Tomase. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader belief and capital allocation. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, especially if one venue has sharper information or higher liquidity in a particular outcome. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader market sees value or disagreement.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker mechanism where buying or selling shares shifts the price based on available liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing into one outcome, the higher its implied probability climbs. You can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and your trade price depends on the current pool depth and order size. This continuous pricing model ensures the market reflects real-time conviction among active participants.
This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on which player wins the ITF Kursumlijska Banja event. Until that point, traders can adjust their positions as new information emerges, such as player form, injury updates, or head-to-head records. Resolution is final once the match result is official and recorded by the tournament organizers.
Several catalysts could shift odds before the match plays out. Injury announcements or withdrawal news involving either player would trigger sharp repricing. Recent tournament results, ranking changes, or updated head-to-head statistics could sway trader confidence. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, or draw-related developments may also influence sentiment. Social media buzz, expert commentary, or betting syndicate activity can accelerate price swings. Closer to Jul 10, 2026, late-breaking form reports or lineup confirmations typically drive the final adjustments.