TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 2:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Charlotte Pikkaart and Teodora Vlajic in the ITF Women Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Charlotte Pikkaart' if Charlotte Pikkaart advances against Teodora Vlajic. This market will resolve to 'Teodora Vlajic' if Teodora Vlajic advances against Charlotte Pikkaart. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Charlotte Pikkaart and Teodora Vlajic in the ITF Women Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Charlotte Pikkaart' if Charlotte Pikkaart advances against Teodora Vlajic. This market will resolve to 'Teodora Vlajic' if Teodora Vlajic advances against Charlotte Pikkaart. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs in real time. For this market, comparing the implied probability here to consensus from major sportsbooks can reveal whether professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders view the outcome differently. Such gaps sometimes signal valuable information or simply reflect different risk appetites.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probability estimates. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders purchase shares representing each possible outcome, and the price of each share reflects the collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. As new trades flow in, the price adjusts continuously, so you can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes. The current odds reflect all available information and trading activity up to that moment.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result, determining which trader positions are correct. Until that point, prices may fluctuate as new information emerges or as traders adjust their views on the likely winner.
Several factors could shift prices in this market before resolution. Recent player form, head-to-head records, court surface preferences, and injury updates are classic catalysts. Tournament draws and seeding changes may also influence trader sentiment. Media coverage, betting syndicates' positions, and shifts in public perception of either player's chances can trigger rapid repricing. Watch for any announcements regarding player fitness or last-minute withdrawals, as these often trigger sharp moves in prediction markets.