TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 6:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Anton Arzhankin and Simeon Stankovic in the ITF Men Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for June 9, 2026 at 6:05AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anton Arzhankin' if Anton Arzhankin advances against Simeon Stankovic. This market will resolve to 'Simeon Stankovic' if Simeon Stankovic advances against Anton Arzhankin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment and continuous trading rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically adjust less frequently and incorporate different risk models. For the Arzhankin vs Stankovic match, comparing Polymarket's implied probability to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd is more or less confident than professional bookmakers. Such gaps may reflect information asymmetries or different participant bases between venues.
On Polymarket, the Arzhankin vs Stankovic match is priced through an automated market maker that converts order flow into real-time odds for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares representing a player's victory, and the cumulative position determines the implied probability displayed on the dashboard. As new information surfaces—such as player form, injury reports, or court conditions at Kursumlijska Banja—traders adjust their positions, moving the price. The market remains open until the match concludes and the outcome is confirmed.
The market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 16, 2026. Resolution occurs once the match between Anton Arzhankin and Simeon Stankovic concludes and the official result is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the winner of the completed match at the ITF Kursumlijska Banja event. Until that time, traders can continue to buy and sell shares, and odds may fluctuate based on pre-match developments and real-time match information.
Several factors could shift odds before the match begins. Injury announcements or withdrawal news involving either Arzhankin or Stankovic would trigger sharp repricing. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, or ranking changes may influence trader confidence. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and draw seeding at Kursumlijska Banja can also matter. Player statements or coaching changes might signal form or motivation. As the match date approaches, any official updates from the ITF or the players themselves could prompt significant trading volume and probability adjustments on Polymarket.