TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 4:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrej Martin and Florian Zimmer in the ITF Men Kramsach, originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrej Martin' if Andrej Martin advances against Florian Zimmer. This market will resolve to 'Florian Zimmer' if Florian Zimmer advances against Andrej Martin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrej Martin and Florian Zimmer in the ITF Men Kramsach, originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrej Martin' if Andrej Martin advances against Florian Zimmer. This market will resolve to 'Florian Zimmer' if Florian Zimmer advances against Andrej Martin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different trader bases and incentive structures. On prediction markets, traders stake real capital on outcomes, creating price discovery driven by informed participants. Sportsbooks, by contrast, set odds to balance liability and extract margin. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on which venue attracts sharper analysis first. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or where edge opportunities may exist.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by the market; as more traders buy one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome falls. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. The current odds reflect real-time consensus among active traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result—whether Martin or Zimmer wins the ITF Kramsach event. No further conditions apply; resolution hinges solely on the verified match outcome. Traders should monitor official tournament updates and reliable sports news sources as the date approaches to stay informed.
Several factors may shift odds before Jul 21, 2026. Player injury announcements, recent form or ranking changes, head-to-head history, and court surface conditions specific to Kramsach can all influence trader positioning. Weather forecasts closer to match day may also matter. Trading volume spikes often accompany major news, so watch for sudden price moves as a signal that new information has emerged. Monitoring both players' recent tournament results and any official ITF updates will help you anticipate market moves.