TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 3:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yekaterina Krupina and Lan Mi in the ITF Women Kayseri, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 3:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yekaterina Krupina' if Yekaterina Krupina advances against Lan Mi. This market will resolve to 'Lan Mi' if Lan Mi advances against Yekaterina Krupina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds more slowly and build in margin, while prediction markets update continuously as new information emerges. For this ITF Kayseri match, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd is pricing Krupina or Mi differently than professional oddsmakers, potentially highlighting value or consensus shifts in player assessment.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the ITF Kayseri match is priced through binary outcome contracts where traders buy and sell shares representing each player's probability of victory. The current market price of each contract reflects the crowd's aggregate belief about the likelihood of that outcome. As match details, recent performance data, or player injury reports surface, traders adjust positions, causing prices to shift. The spread between Krupina and Mi contracts indicates the market's confidence differential between the two competitors.
The ITF Kayseri: Yekaterina Krupina vs Lan Mi market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 17, 2026. Resolution occurs after the match concludes and the official result is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the winner of the singles match as recorded by the ITF and official tournament records. Once the match result is finalized and verified, the prediction market contract settles in favor of the winning player's contract, and traders' positions are paid out accordingly.
Key catalysts for price movement in this ITF Kayseri market include recent tournament results and ranking updates for both Krupina and Mi, injury announcements or fitness concerns, head-to-head historical performance data, court surface conditions at the venue, and pre-match commentary from analysts or coaches. Weather forecasts, player withdrawals, or late-breaking form changes can also shift trader sentiment rapidly. Additionally, any updates on either player's recent matches or training status may trigger significant repricing as the match date approaches.