TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine and Birtan Duran in the ITF Men Kayseri, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine' if Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine advances against Birtan Duran. This market will resolve to 'Birtan Duran' if Birtan Duran advances against Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine and Birtan Duran in the ITF Men Kayseri, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine' if Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine advances against Birtan Duran. This market will resolve to 'Birtan Duran' if Birtan Duran advances against Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and manage risk through margin, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders directly responding to new information and sentiment. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether traders are more or less confident than bookmakers. Prediction markets sometimes offer sharper pricing because traders have real money at stake and access to diverse information sources, though sportsbooks may adjust faster during live events.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result reported by the ITF or recognized tennis data providers. Until that time, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate. Resolution occurs automatically once the event is finalized and the platform confirms the winner.
Several factors could shift trader positions before the match takes place. Injury announcements or withdrawal news involving either player would trigger sharp repricing. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and surface preference data may prompt traders to reassess probabilities. Court conditions, weather forecasts, and player form updates closer to the event date often drive volume spikes. Media coverage highlighting a player's momentum or confidence can also influence sentiment. Monitoring these catalysts helps traders anticipate market moves and identify trading opportunities.