TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 14, 6:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Agwi and Sydney Zick in the ITF Men Kassel, originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Agwi' if Michael Agwi advances against Sydney Zick. This market will resolve to 'Sydney Zick' if Sydney Zick advances against Michael Agwi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Agwi and Sydney Zick in the ITF Men Kassel, originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Agwi' if Michael Agwi advances against Sydney Zick. This market will resolve to 'Sydney Zick' if Sydney Zick advances against Michael Agwi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may offer sharper or earlier signals than traditional sportsbooks, especially if specialized tennis traders are active. However, sportsbook odds remain a useful benchmark for comparing implied probabilities and identifying where the prediction market community sees value relative to professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling binary outcome shares in an automated market maker model. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective assessment of the probability that Michael Agwi defeats Sydney Zick in their ITF Kassel encounter. As new trades execute, prices adjust in real time, and the spread between bid and ask widens or narrows based on order flow and liquidity. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures that the market remains responsive to breaking news, player updates, or other relevant developments.
This market resolves around Jul 14, 2026, once the ITF Kassel match between Agwi and Zick concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official match result—whether Agwi or Zick wins the encounter. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution timing depends on when the match is played and the result is officially confirmed by the tournament organizers and reported through reliable sports data channels.
Several catalysts could shift odds before the match takes place. Recent player form, head-to-head records, and injury reports are primary drivers of sentiment. Court surface conditions at Kassel, weather forecasts, and any last-minute lineup changes can also trigger repricing. News about either player's recent tournament performance or training updates may influence trader positioning. Additionally, if one player withdraws or if external factors affect the event schedule, this market could see sharp moves. Monitoring tennis news outlets and official ITF announcements will help you stay ahead of market-moving developments.