TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 3:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Victoria Pohle and Kailey Evans in the ITF Women Kamen, originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 3:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Victoria Pohle' if Victoria Pohle advances against Kailey Evans. This market will resolve to 'Kailey Evans' if Kailey Evans advances against Victoria Pohle. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Victoria Pohle and Kailey Evans in the ITF Women Kamen, originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 3:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Victoria Pohle' if Victoria Pohle advances against Kailey Evans. This market will resolve to 'Kailey Evans' if Kailey Evans advances against Victoria Pohle. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs about the outcome. This market aggregates the views of many independent participants, which can sometimes reveal insights that traditional oddsmakers miss—or conversely, may lag behind sharp sportsbook moves. Comparing the two can highlight where consensus differs most sharply.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on buy and sell pressure. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing into one outcome, the higher its price climbs; conversely, selling pressure drives it down. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures that the market price reflects the latest information and sentiment among active traders. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new developments.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official winner as reported by the ITF or recognized tennis data providers. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate with pre-match analysis, player form, and any breaking news. Resolution is automatic once the event is finalized and the platform confirms the result.
Several factors could shift odds before the match takes place. Injury reports or withdrawals involving either player would trigger sharp repricing. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and surface-specific performance data often drive trading activity as the event approaches. Weather conditions, court conditions, or last-minute lineup changes can also sway sentiment. Social media discussion, expert commentary, and betting syndicates entering the market may accelerate price moves. Monitoring player news and ITF announcements will help you anticipate volatility.