TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 5:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kenzie Nguyen and Simone Kay in the ITF Women Irvine, originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 5:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kenzie Nguyen' if Kenzie Nguyen advances against Simone Kay. This market will resolve to 'Simone Kay' if Simone Kay advances against Kenzie Nguyen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kenzie Nguyen and Simone Kay in the ITF Women Irvine, originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 5:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kenzie Nguyen' if Kenzie Nguyen advances against Simone Kay. This market will resolve to 'Simone Kay' if Simone Kay advances against Kenzie Nguyen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one reflect pure trader belief—there is no house edge or margin built in. Traders here are directly wagering on the outcome, which can lead to sharper, more efficient pricing in some cases. However, sportsbooks may have faster access to injury reports or late-breaking news, creating temporary gaps. Comparing both sources provides a fuller picture of where informed opinion stands.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker (AMM) system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the cumulative bets of all participants; as more traders back one outcome, its price rises and the opposing outcome's price falls. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new information, player news, or betting flows. Liquidity depth determines how much you can trade without moving the price significantly.
This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the winner is verified against credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official result of the ITF Irvine tournament match between the two players. Until that point, prices will fluctuate based on pre-match analysis, player form, head-to-head records, and any breaking news that might affect performance or participation.
Several factors could shift prices before the match takes place. Injury announcements or withdrawal news involving either player would trigger sharp moves. Recent tournament results, ranking changes, or head-to-head record updates may also influence trader sentiment. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and draw positioning in the tournament bracket can matter for clay-court specialists. Media coverage highlighting form or confidence, as well as betting action from informed insiders, typically drives the largest repricing events in the days leading up to play.