TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 15, 3:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between James Hart and James Beaven in the ITF Men Hillcrest, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Hart' if James Hart advances against James Beaven. This market will resolve to 'James Beaven' if James Beaven advances against James Hart. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between James Hart and James Beaven in the ITF Men Hillcrest, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Hart' if James Hart advances against James Beaven. This market will resolve to 'James Beaven' if James Beaven advances against James Hart. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, particularly if one venue attracts more informed or specialized participants. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or where outlier views exist.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood, with higher prices indicating stronger confidence. As new information emerges or trading volume shifts, prices adjust in real time. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to changing expectations about the match result.
This market resolves around Jul 15, 2026, once the match concludes and the winner is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official result reported by the ITF or recognized tennis reporting bodies. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new developments unfold. Resolution is binary: one player will be confirmed as the victor, and the market will settle accordingly.
Player form, recent match results, and head-to-head history are key catalysts that can shift prices in this market. Injury reports, court conditions, or changes in player ranking or seeding may also influence trader sentiment. News coverage and expert commentary leading up to the match can sway perception of each player's chances. As the event date approaches, increased media attention and late-breaking information typically drive heightened trading activity and price volatility.