TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between James Beaven and Kris Van Wyk in the ITF Men Hillcrest, originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Beaven' if James Beaven advances against Kris Van Wyk. This market will resolve to 'Kris Van Wyk' if Kris Van Wyk advances against James Beaven. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between James Beaven and Kris Van Wyk in the ITF Men Hillcrest, originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Beaven' if James Beaven advances against Kris Van Wyk. This market will resolve to 'Kris Van Wyk' if Kris Van Wyk advances against James Beaven. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets derive prices from live trading between participants with real money at stake. This market aggregates the views of many independent traders rather than relying on a single oddsmaker. Prediction market prices often reflect sharper, more dynamic adjustments to breaking news and public sentiment. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal where consensus diverges and highlight potential value.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker (AMM) system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one outcome, and the price adjusts continuously based on supply and demand. When more traders buy shares for a particular player, that outcome's price rises, reflecting increased confidence. The platform's pricing mechanism ensures liquidity and allows you to enter or exit positions at transparent, real-time rates determined entirely by participant activity.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning outcome will be determined by the official result of the match at ITF Hillcrest. Until that time, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate. Resolution occurs automatically once the match concludes and the result is documented, settling all positions based on the verified winner.
Several factors may shift odds in this market before the match. Player injury reports, recent form and tournament results, head-to-head history, and court surface conditions can all influence trader sentiment. News about either competitor's fitness, coaching changes, or performance in warm-up events will likely trigger price movements. Weather forecasts closer to the event date may also matter. As the match date approaches, increased media coverage and expert commentary typically drive higher trading volume and volatility, reflecting refined market expectations.