TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 7:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Jamshidi and Jessica Schilz in the ITF Women Hillcrest, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elena Jamshidi' if Elena Jamshidi advances against Jessica Schilz. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Schilz' if Jessica Schilz advances against Elena Jamshidi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Jamshidi and Jessica Schilz in the ITF Women Hillcrest, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elena Jamshidi' if Elena Jamshidi advances against Jessica Schilz. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Schilz' if Jessica Schilz advances against Elena Jamshidi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show materially different probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, particularly if one venue has sharper or more active traders. Comparing the two can reveal where professional bettors and casual predictors disagree on the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker (AMM) system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the cumulative trades placed by the community; as more capital flows into one side, that outcome's probability rises and the opposing side falls. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information and trader conviction, with spreads tightening as liquidity increases.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the tennis match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result, determining which player advances or wins the ITF Hillcrest event. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final point, allowing traders to settle their positions promptly.
Several factors may shift odds before the match begins: recent player form and head-to-head records, injury reports or fitness updates, court surface conditions at Hillcrest, and betting patterns from professional traders. News about either player's recent tournament results, training status, or personal circumstances can trigger rapid repricing. As the match start time approaches, late-breaking information and sharp money flowing into one side often cause the most dramatic swings in implied probability.