TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
ITF Hillcrest: Danielle Dai Chapman vs Ksenia Smirnova Total Sets: O/U 2.5
- Polymarket
ITF Hillcrest: Danielle Dai Chapman vs Ksenia Smirnova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 9, 2026
Closed: Jul 16, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Danielle Dai Chapman and Ksenia Smirnova in the ITF Women Hillcrest, originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Danielle Dai Chapman' if Danielle Dai Chapman advances against Ksenia Smirnova. This market will resolve to 'Ksenia Smirnova' if Ksenia Smirnova advances against Danielle Dai Chapman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Danielle Dai Chapman and Ksenia Smirnova in the ITF Women Hillcrest, originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Danielle Dai Chapman' if Danielle Dai Chapman advances against Ksenia Smirnova. This market will resolve to 'Ksenia Smirnova' if Ksenia Smirnova advances against Danielle Dai Chapman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. For this market, comparing the current prediction market price to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether professional bettors and retail traders are pricing the match differently. Significant gaps may signal undervalued or overvalued outcomes relative to conventional betting markets.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective willingness of participants to stake capital, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that result. As new information emerges or trading volume shifts, prices adjust in real time, allowing you to track changing expectations around the match throughout the lead-up to play.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the actual match winner as documented by official tennis records and reputable sports news sources. Until that point, prices may fluctuate based on player news, betting patterns, and other signals traders interpret as relevant to the final result.
Player injury reports, recent tournament performance, head-to-head records, and court surface conditions are key catalysts that typically shift odds in tennis markets. Unexpected withdrawals, coaching changes, or notable warm-up match results can also trigger sharp price moves. Additionally, shifts in trading volume or large position changes by prominent traders may signal new information or conviction, prompting other participants to reassess their positions and adjust prices accordingly.