TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 9:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentina Losciale and Mariana Franca in the ITF Women Guimaraes, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentina Losciale' if Valentina Losciale advances against Mariana Franca. This market will resolve to 'Mariana Franca' if Mariana Franca advances against Valentina Losciale. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often reflect different pricing than traditional sportsbooks because they are set by decentralized trader consensus rather than oddsmakers managing liability. Sportsbooks typically build in wider margins and adjust lines to balance action, while prediction markets respond directly to supply and demand from participants. For this ITF Guimaraes match, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where professional and retail traders disagree on Losciale versus Franca's winning chances. These differences may highlight value opportunities or consensus shifts in real time.
On Polymarket, the ITF Guimaraes match between Valentina Losciale and Mariana Franca is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the cumulative trading activity and the ratio of shares held for each player. As traders place orders, the price adjusts continuously, with the implied probability of each outcome visible in real time. Polymarket's transparent order book allows you to see depth and liquidity, helping you understand the strength of conviction behind current pricing for this ITF women's singles event.
Several factors could shift odds for this ITF Guimaraes match. Recent form and head-to-head records between Losciale and Franca may influence trader positioning as new results emerge. Injury reports, player withdrawals, or court surface conditions at the venue could trigger rapid repricing. Betting activity from informed traders or syndicates may signal confidence in one player. Tournament draw updates, seeding changes, or news about either player's preparation and fitness will likely move the market. Close matches involving either competitor in the days before this event could also shift perception of their current form and winning probability.