TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matilde Jorge and Polina Isakova in the ITF Women Guimaraes, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matilde Jorge' if Matilde Jorge advances against Polina Isakova. This market will resolve to 'Polina Isakova' if Polina Isakova advances against Matilde Jorge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Jorge vs Isakova match is priced through binary outcome contracts reflecting the probability each player wins. Traders buy and sell shares, with the market price converging toward true likelihood as match day approaches. Polymarket's automated market maker model ensures continuous pricing even during low-volume periods. The current implied probability reflects accumulated bets from the prediction market community, updated in real time as new information about player fitness, recent form, or court conditions surfaces before the Jun 17, 2026 resolution.
The ITF Guimaraes: Matilde Jorge vs Polina Isakova market resolves on Jun 17, 2026. The outcome is determined by the official result of the match as recorded by the ITF and confirmed by the tournament organizers. Resolution occurs after the match concludes and the winner is officially announced. Traders holding positions on the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The market remains open for trading until the match begins, allowing participants to adjust positions based on late-breaking news or lineup changes.
Several factors could shift odds for the Jorge vs Isakova match before Jun 17, 2026. Recent tournament results, injury announcements, or player withdrawals would trigger immediate repricing. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and head-to-head history updates influence trader positioning. Betting volume spikes often precede major shifts as informed participants accumulate positions. Player practice reports, coaching changes, or fitness updates circulate through tennis communities and move markets accordingly. Late-breaking news about either player's form or mental state can cause rapid probability swings as traders reassess win likelihood.