TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Francisca Jorge and Mariam Bolkvadze in the ITF Women Guimaraes, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisca Jorge' if Francisca Jorge advances against Mariam Bolkvadze. This market will resolve to 'Mariam Bolkvadze' if Mariam Bolkvadze advances against Francisca Jorge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect decentralized trader sentiment rather than bookmaker models. Sportsbooks apply margin and use historical data plus expert analysis; prediction markets aggregate real-time belief from many participants with financial incentives to be accurate. For the Francisca Jorge vs Mariam Bolkvadze match, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd differs from professional oddsmakers. Significant gaps may signal value or highlight factors the market is pricing differently than traditional books.
On Polymarket, the ITF Guimaraes: Francisca Jorge vs Mariam Bolkvadze match is priced as a binary outcome contract where each player outcome trades as a separate share. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, representing the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Traders buy shares in the outcome they believe will occur; if correct at resolution, each share pays 1 dollar. The current price reflects the collective trading activity and belief of Polymarket participants. Liquidity and volume determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions at posted prices.
The ITF Guimaraes: Francisca Jorge vs Mariam Bolkvadze market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 17, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the match as reported by the ITF and confirmed by the market's data sources. The outcome is binary: one player wins and the corresponding market resolves to 100 cents, while the other resolves to zero. Resolution occurs after the match concludes and the official result is finalized, typically within hours of the final point.
Several factors could shift odds for the Francisca Jorge vs Mariam Bolkvadze match. Recent tournament performance, head-to-head records, and current ranking changes will influence trader positioning. Injury reports or withdrawal announcements about either player would trigger sharp repricing. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and match scheduling details may also affect perceived advantage. News about recent form, coaching changes, or off-court circumstances can sway sentiment. As match day approaches, accumulating trading volume and late-arriving information typically increase price volatility, reflecting refined market expectations closer to the actual contest.