TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aliona Falei and Manon Leonard in the ITF Women Guimaraes, originally scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aliona Falei' if Aliona Falei advances against Manon Leonard. This market will resolve to 'Manon Leonard' if Manon Leonard advances against Aliona Falei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aliona Falei and Manon Leonard in the ITF Women Guimaraes, originally scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aliona Falei' if Aliona Falei advances against Manon Leonard. This market will resolve to 'Manon Leonard' if Manon Leonard advances against Aliona Falei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show odds that differ meaningfully from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or as one side attracts more trading activity. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares representing each possible outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability estimate of the market participants at that moment. As new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, causing prices to move in real time. This continuous price discovery mechanism means the odds you see represent an up-to-date consensus of what traders believe will happen in the match.
This market resolves around Jun 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the actual winner of the match as recorded by official tennis sources and widely reported sports media. Once the match concludes and the result is established, the market will settle accordingly, paying out traders who backed the correct outcome and closing positions for those on the losing side.
Several factors could shift odds before the match takes place. Recent form and head-to-head records between the two players often drive early trading. Injury reports, court surface conditions, and weather forecasts closer to the event date can trigger significant repricing. Tournament momentum, player confidence, and any news about either competitor's preparation or fitness will likely influence trader sentiment. As the match date approaches, accumulating information typically narrows uncertainty and can cause sharp moves in either direction.