TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 6, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gianmarco Ferrari and Lucio Ratti in the ITF Men Grado, originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gianmarco Ferrari' if Gianmarco Ferrari advances against Lucio Ratti. This market will resolve to 'Lucio Ratti' if Lucio Ratti advances against Gianmarco Ferrari. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect decentralized trader sentiment rather than bookmaker margins and risk management. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance liability, while prediction markets aggregate the collective belief of participants trading directly. For the Ferrari versus Ratti match, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where professional bettors and decentralized traders diverge in their assessment of the likely winner.
On Polymarket, the ITF Grado: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Lucio Ratti match is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into implied probabilities for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move continuously as traders buy and sell shares, with the current leading outcome reflecting the aggregate conviction of the market. Volume and liquidity on Polymarket determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions, influencing price stability and the speed at which new information is reflected in the odds.
Several factors could shift market odds for the Ferrari versus Ratti match before Jun 6, 2026. Recent tournament performance, head-to-head records, injury reports, and surface preference data are key catalysts. Changes in player ranking or seeding, training updates, or draws affecting the bracket could also influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions at the Grado venue, court surface conditions, and any late-breaking news about either player's form or fitness may prompt repricing as the match date approaches.