TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carolina Kuhl and Mara Guth in the ITF Women Gentofte, originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carolina Kuhl' if Carolina Kuhl advances against Mara Guth. This market will resolve to 'Mara Guth' if Mara Guth advances against Carolina Kuhl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carolina Kuhl and Mara Guth in the ITF Women Gentofte, originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carolina Kuhl' if Carolina Kuhl advances against Mara Guth. This market will resolve to 'Mara Guth' if Mara Guth advances against Carolina Kuhl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show a different implied probability than traditional sports betting venues, especially if professional bettors or informed traders have concentrated their positions here. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or where sharp money is flowing.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the cumulative positions of all participants; as more traders buy or sell shares tied to each outcome, the price adjusts continuously. This mechanism ensures transparent, friction-free pricing without relying on a traditional order book, making it easy to enter or exit positions at any time before the match concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 28, 2026, once the match is complete and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result, with no ambiguity about which player won. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact timing of payout processing depends on platform confirmation procedures following the event.
Market prices may shift based on player news, recent form, head-to-head records, or injury updates affecting either competitor. Betting activity from professional traders or sharp money can also drive rapid repricing if new information emerges. Court conditions, weather, or tournament scheduling changes could influence trader expectations. As the match date approaches, late-breaking developments—such as withdrawal or unexpected lineup changes—often trigger sharp moves. Real-time match updates during play will likely cause final repricing as the outcome becomes clearer.