TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Chloe Paquet and Anastasiya Sobolieva in the ITF Women Gdansk, originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chloe Paquet' if Chloe Paquet advances against Anastasiya Sobolieva. This market will resolve to 'Anastasiya Sobolieva' if Anastasiya Sobolieva advances against Chloe Paquet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Chloe Paquet and Anastasiya Sobolieva in the ITF Women Gdansk, originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chloe Paquet' if Chloe Paquet advances against Anastasiya Sobolieva. This market will resolve to 'Anastasiya Sobolieva' if Anastasiya Sobolieva advances against Chloe Paquet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, particularly as new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on Polymarket sees value relative to conventional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief in that outcome's likelihood, with shares trading between 0 and 1 cent (representing 0–100% implied probability). As traders adjust their positions based on new information or analysis, the price updates continuously, ensuring the market remains responsive to changing expectations about the match result.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning outcome will be determined by the official match result, and traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout. Until that point, prices may fluctuate as participants trade on their expectations and react to any developments or news related to the competitors.
Player form, recent match results, injury reports, and head-to-head history can all influence trader sentiment and shift prices. Court surface conditions, weather, and tournament draw positioning may also affect expectations. Media coverage, expert commentary, and betting activity on other platforms can serve as signals that prompt traders to reassess their positions. Any official announcements regarding player status or match logistics could trigger notable repricing as the event date approaches.