TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 4:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sophie Greiner and Alexia Ioana Tatu in the ITF Women Focsani, originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 4:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sophie Greiner' if Sophie Greiner advances against Alexia Ioana Tatu. This market will resolve to 'Alexia Ioana Tatu' if Alexia Ioana Tatu advances against Sophie Greiner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket for this Sophie Greiner vs Alexia Ioana Tatu match often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect decentralized trader consensus rather than bookmaker margins and risk management. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability; prediction markets price based on direct participant belief. For ITF Focsani matches, prediction markets may react faster to player news, recent form, or injury updates. Comparing Polymarket probabilities to major sportsbook spreads can reveal where the two pricing mechanisms diverge most significantly.
On Polymarket, the Sophie Greiner vs Alexia Ioana Tatu match is priced as a binary outcome contract reflecting the probability that the specified player wins. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell YES or NO shares; the current price of YES shares represents the market's implied probability of that outcome. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, so prices adjust continuously based on order flow. The top outcome currently reflects the market consensus, with volume and liquidity metrics visible on the event page.
The ITF Focsani: Sophie Greiner vs Alexia Ioana Tatu market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 12, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the match as recorded by the ITF and confirmed through the prediction market's data sources. Once the match concludes and the winner is officially confirmed, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on their positions. The exact timing of resolution may depend on match completion and official confirmation processes.
Several factors could shift odds for the Sophie Greiner vs Alexia Ioana Tatu match before Jun 12, 2026. Recent tournament results, player injury reports, or withdrawal announcements would trigger immediate repricing. Head-to-head history, surface preference, and current ranking changes also influence trader sentiment. Court conditions at the Focsani venue, weather forecasts, and any last-minute lineup changes can move the market. Accumulating data on player form and fitness closer to match day typically drives the largest probability swings on Polymarket.