TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 10:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carmen Andreea Herea and Annika Penickova in the ITF Women Florence, originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carmen Andreea Herea' if Carmen Andreea Herea advances against Annika Penickova. This market will resolve to 'Annika Penickova' if Annika Penickova advances against Carmen Andreea Herea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carmen Andreea Herea and Annika Penickova in the ITF Women Florence, originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carmen Andreea Herea' if Carmen Andreea Herea advances against Annika Penickova. This market will resolve to 'Annika Penickova' if Annika Penickova advances against Carmen Andreea Herea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, traders in the ITF Florence tennis match market set odds based on their expectations for the outcome. These prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the unique dynamics of trader sentiment and liquidity. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader market data and risk management strategies, this market reflects a more direct aggregation of user beliefs, which can lead to variations in implied probabilities. The difference allows bettors to compare perspectives and potentially find value in either market based on their own analysis of the players and conditions.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match conclusion, and the platform updates the market accordingly once the data is beyond doubt.
Several key signals could shift probabilities in this market before Aug 6, 2026. Performance metrics from recent practice sessions, any last-minute injury updates, or weather forecasts for the match location can all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, momentum shifts observed in earlier rounds of the tournament may affect expectations for both competitors. As the event draws closer, any news regarding player form or strategic adjustments could cause notable movements in this market, reflecting updated assessments of who might prevail.